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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.4 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche 2–0 Levante | 1.11–1.01 | 38% · 30% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Elche |
| Valencia 3–0 Getafe | 1.13–0.66 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Alaves 1–1 Atletico Madrid | 0.92–1.09 | 30% · 31% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Oviedo 1–0 Real Sociedad | 0.45–1.10 | 15% · 33% · 52% | Won against the xG: Oviedo |
| Girona 0–2 Sevilla | 2.12–1.26 | 57% · 21% · 22% | Won against the xG: Sevilla |
| Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca | 1.82–0.72 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal | 0.96–1.04 | 32% · 31% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Betis 1–2 Athletic Club | 0.62–1.11 | 20% · 32% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Espanyol 1–0 Osasuna | 1.21–1.37 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Close call, Espanyol won |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona | 1.85–1.83 | 40% · 22% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.