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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.0 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves 3–0 Getafe | 1.93–0.24 | 79% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano | 2.19–1.89 | 46% · 20% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Racing Santander 2–2 Villarreal | 1.87–0.67 | 66% · 21% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Racing Santander had 66% |
| Espanyol 3–0 Levante | 1.55–0.28 | 70% · 24% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Elche | 0.34–1.23 | 10% · 30% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Elche had 59% |
| Atletico Madrid 2–0 Malaga | 0.92–0.15 | 55% · 39% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Valencia 0–1 Real Betis | 1.12–0.71 | 45% · 32% · 23% | Won against the xG: Real Betis |
| Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad | 3.14–0.57 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna | 0.14–2.60 | 1% · 9% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Barcelona 2–0 Athletic Club | 4.23–0.25 | 97% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.