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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 28.7 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves | 0.42–2.00 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 75% |
| Real Betis 1–0 Real Sociedad | 1.24–1.36 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Close call, Real Betis won |
| Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla | 1.25–0.41 | 58% · 30% · 12% | Won against the xG: Sevilla |
| Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo | 0.58–0.66 | 27% · 41% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid | 1.05–2.71 | 12% · 15% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Atletico Madrid 2–2 Villarreal | 0.78–3.60 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 88% |
| Getafe 1–0 Racing Santander | 1.24–1.31 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Close call, Getafe won |
| Elche 0–5 Barcelona | 0.70–4.38 | 2% · 5% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Osasuna 0–0 Levante | 0.70–1.28 | 20% · 29% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Levante had 50% |
| Malaga 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna | 1.95–1.12 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Malaga had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.