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10 of 10 matches with xG: 38 goals from 30.3 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander 3–2 Elche | 1.72–1.03 | 54% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Racing Santander |
| Alaves 1–0 Villarreal | 0.81–1.40 | 22% · 27% · 51% | Won against the xG: Alaves |
| Levante 5–2 Real Betis | 2.76–1.92 | 56% · 18% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
| Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol | 1.82–0.77 | 62% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid | 0.90–0.93 | 33% · 33% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Real Madrid 4–0 Malaga | 2.62–0.71 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Deportivo La Coruna 3–1 Valencia | 1.42–1.40 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo La Coruna |
| Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club | 0.75–2.78 | 7% · 13% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Osasuna 1–0 Getafe | 1.68–0.68 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano | 3.04–1.21 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.