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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 27.2 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid | 0.93–3.46 | 6% · 10% · 84% | Won against the xG: Real Betis |
| Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid | 1.41–1.02 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander | 1.61–0.48 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La Coruna | 1.14–0.79 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Won against the xG: Deportivo La Coruna |
| Valencia 0–5 Barcelona | 0.66–4.08 | 2% · 5% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Alaves 5–2 Osasuna | 1.20–1.64 | 28% · 24% · 48% | Won against the xG: Alaves |
| Malaga 0–0 Levante | 1.46–0.81 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Malaga had 52% |
| Espanyol 1–1 Sevilla | 1.23–0.53 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Espanyol had 54% |
| Getafe 1–1 Celta Vigo | 0.65–1.03 | 23% · 33% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad | 2.47–0.58 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Won against the xG: Real Sociedad |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.