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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 31.3 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla 1–0 Valencia | 0.93–0.10 | 57% · 39% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Racing Santander 2–1 Alaves | 2.01–1.98 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Racing Santander |
| Osasuna 0–2 Espanyol | 1.05–1.43 | 28% · 27% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Elche | 2.39–0.84 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 72% |
| Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano | 2.62–1.21 | 68% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Malaga | 1.90–0.43 | 73% · 19% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 73% |
| Levante 2–4 Barcelona | 2.42–2.58 | 38% · 18% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Getafe 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna | 0.78–0.87 | 30% · 35% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Sociedad 0–3 Atletico Madrid | 0.27–2.05 | 4% · 16% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis | 1.89–3.52 | 17% · 14% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.