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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 34.8 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 0–0 Celta Vigo | 1.05–0.43 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad had 51% |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol | 1.52–1.49 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Alaves 0–1 Valencia | 1.05–0.65 | 45% · 33% · 22% | Won against the xG: Valencia |
| Elche 2–3 Real Madrid | 0.78–3.61 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna | 3.99–0.48 | 94% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Sevilla | 0.14–0.73 | 7% · 46% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Barcelona 7–2 Racing Santander | 6.74–1.98 | 93% · 4% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Betis 1–0 Getafe | 1.89–0.29 | 77% · 18% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Malaga 1–3 Villarreal | 0.63–3.33 | 4% · 9% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Levante 3–1 Athletic Club | 2.04–1.95 | 41% · 21% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.