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8 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 18.7 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets 0–0 Veres Rivne | 0.68–1.03 | 24% · 33% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| LNZ Cherkasy 0–1 Polessya | 0.35–1.70 | 7% · 22% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Livyi Bereh 0–1 Oleksandria | 0.12–0.83 | 5% · 43% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Oleksandria |
| Obolon'-Brovar 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.37–2.72 | 17% · 17% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Ruh Lviv 0–2 Dynamo Kyiv | 0.75–1.35 | 21% · 28% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Vorskla Poltava 0–1 Kryvbas KR | 0.45–0.93 | 17% · 37% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Kryvbas KR |
| Karpaty 4–0 Chornomorets | 3.65–0.81 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Karpaty |
| Zorya Luhansk 0–3 Kolos Kovalivka | 0.24–1.68 | 5% · 21% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Kolos Kovalivka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.