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8 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 18.9 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets 0–1 Obolon'-Brovar | 0.40–1.29 | 11% · 29% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Obolon'-Brovar |
| Vorskla Poltava 1–2 Zorya Luhansk | 2.54–2.66 | 39% · 18% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
| Chornomorets 1–0 LNZ Cherkasy | 1.05–0.74 | 42% · 32% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Chornomorets |
| Oleksandria 1–0 Kryvbas KR | 0.76–1.04 | 26% · 32% · 41% | Won against the xG: Oleksandria |
| Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 Livyi Bereh | 1.88–0.63 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Veres Rivne | 1.37–0.83 | 50% · 28% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Kolos Kovalivka 0–1 Ruh Lviv | 0.57–0.27 | 36% · 50% · 14% | Won against the xG: Ruh Lviv |
| Polessya 1–1 Karpaty | 1.97–0.88 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Polessya had 63% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.