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7 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 18.2 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kryvbas KR 0–2 Dynamo Kyiv | 0.85–1.10 | 28% · 31% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Ruh Lviv 1–1 Oleksandria | 0.31–1.38 | 8% · 27% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Oleksandria had 65% |
| Obolon'-Brovar 1–0 Chornomorets | 2.92–1.21 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Obolon'-Brovar |
| Vorskla Poltava 0–2 Polessya | 0.52–0.67 | 24% · 42% · 34% | Close call, Polessya won |
| Livyi Bereh 0–2 Kolos Kovalivka | 0.66–0.95 | 24% · 35% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Kolos Kovalivka |
| Zorya Luhansk 1–2 Veres Rivne | 0.84–3.34 | 6% · 10% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Veres Rivne |
| Inhulets 1–2 Karpaty | 0.96–2.53 | 12% · 16% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Karpaty |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.