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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 30.7 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 2–1 Minnesota United FC | 1.26–2.76 | 15% · 16% · 69% | Won against the xG: Austin |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–1 FC Dallas | 0.84–1.29 | 24% · 29% · 47% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
| Real Salt Lake 2–3 LA Galaxy | 2.24–2.04 | 44% · 20% · 36% | Close call, LA Galaxy won |
| Seattle Sounders 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.95–0.98 | 77% · 13% · 9% | Won against the xG: San Jose Earthquakes |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 6–2 Houston Dynamo | 1.86–2.11 | 35% · 21% · 45% | Close call, Vancouver Whitecaps won |
| New York City FC 0–0 New England Revolution | 1.42–0.67 | 55% · 27% · 18% | Draw against the xG: New York City FC had 55% |
| Seattle Sounders 0–0 Portland Timbers | 0.35–0.27 | 24% · 59% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Inter Miami 1–2 DC United | 0.12–3.00 | 1% · 6% · 93% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| New York Red Bulls 0–3 Orlando City SC | 1.19–2.29 | 19% · 19% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Philadelphia Union 3–0 CF Montreal | 1.77–1.30 | 48% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.