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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 24.0 xG (1.42 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 3–1 DC United | 1.64–1.00 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| Charlotte 3–3 Seattle Sounders | 0.89–1.41 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| CF Montreal 4–0 Minnesota United FC | 1.46–1.20 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| New England Revolution 3–1 Inter Miami | 1.61–1.37 | 43% · 24% · 33% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| Orlando City SC 2–0 Colorado Rapids | 1.01–0.27 | 54% · 36% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC | 0.97–0.44 | 48% · 36% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chicago Fire 1–2 Columbus Crew | 0.52–1.05 | 18% · 34% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Houston Dynamo 4–0 LAFC | 2.08–0.69 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Austin | 1.94–1.18 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Real Salt Lake 0–0 New York City FC | 2.82–0.41 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Real Salt Lake had 87% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.