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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Philadelphia Union | 0.64–1.59 | 15% · 25% · 60% | Won against the xG: San Jose Earthquakes |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 FC Cincinnati | 1.35–1.64 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 1–1 LA Galaxy | 1.96–1.42 | 50% · 22% · 28% | Draw against the xG: St. Louis City SC had 50% |
| Portland Timbers 1–0 FC Dallas | 1.47–0.34 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| LAFC 0–1 Houston Dynamo | 0.70–0.65 | 32% · 39% · 29% | Close call, Houston Dynamo won |
| New York City FC 1–1 Columbus Crew | 1.59–1.22 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| DC United 1–2 Real Salt Lake | 1.24–1.75 | 27% · 23% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| New England Revolution 3–1 Orlando City SC | 0.98–0.90 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| Sporting Kansas City 1–2 LAFC | 1.98–1.06 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Won against the xG: LAFC |
| Nashville SC 3–1 St. Louis City SC | 2.14–1.71 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.