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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 26.2 xG (1.37 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo 4–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.06–0.70 | 44% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Nashville SC | 0.37–0.70 | 17% · 44% · 39% | Close call, Nashville SC won |
| St. Louis City SC 0–0 LAFC | 0.76–0.74 | 32% · 37% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Colorado Rapids 1–2 Seattle Sounders | 0.53–1.26 | 16% · 30% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Real Salt Lake 1–3 FC Dallas | 0.84–1.85 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| LA Galaxy 4–3 Minnesota United FC | 2.93–1.18 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.13–1.27 | 57% · 21% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| FC Cincinnati 3–0 Charlotte | 3.05–0.53 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| DC United 3–5 New York Red Bulls | 2.43–3.62 | 24% · 15% · 61% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Philadelphia Union 0–0 LAFC | 0.25–0.04 | 21% · 76% · 3% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.