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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.6 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 4–1 CF Montreal | 2.37–1.07 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| Chicago Fire 2–2 New England Revolution | 1.51–0.66 | 58% · 26% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Chicago Fire had 58% |
| FC Dallas 1–1 Columbus Crew | 1.24–0.82 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Houston Dynamo | 2.48–1.27 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Minnesota United FC 1–2 St. Louis City SC | 2.08–1.34 | 54% · 21% · 24% | Won against the xG: St. Louis City SC |
| Real Salt Lake 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.87–0.56 | 41% · 37% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Portland Timbers 3–2 Colorado Rapids | 2.35–0.39 | 82% · 14% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC | 1.40–0.93 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| New York City FC 3–0 Toronto FC | 2.43–0.59 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Orlando City SC 1–1 Inter Miami | 1.47–0.75 | 54% · 27% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Orlando City SC had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.