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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 32.6 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 3–3 LA Galaxy | 1.94–3.26 | 21% · 15% · 64% | Draw against the xG: LA Galaxy had 64% |
| Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Dallas | 1.56–1.11 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Colorado Rapids 2–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.08–1.13 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Columbus Crew 1–1 Philadelphia Union | 2.68–1.42 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 64% |
| New England Revolution 2–1 Charlotte | 1.09–1.26 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Close call, New England Revolution won |
| New York Red Bulls 0–1 Chicago Fire | 1.34–1.52 | 34% · 25% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Orlando City SC 3–0 CF Montreal | 2.31–0.36 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati | 2.04–3.06 | 25% · 17% · 59% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Nashville SC 0–0 Seattle Sounders | 0.38–0.56 | 20% · 48% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 4–1 Sporting Kansas City | 2.82–1.66 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.