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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 26.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami 1–1 New York City FC | 0.90–1.62 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Draw against the xG: New York City FC had 54% |
| Houston Dynamo 0–0 FC Dallas | 1.56–0.33 | 69% · 24% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Houston Dynamo had 69% |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.46–1.46 | 38% · 25% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin | 0.87–1.11 | 28% · 31% · 41% | Close call, Colorado Rapids won |
| LA Galaxy 3–3 Portland Timbers | 0.78–1.59 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Portland Timbers had 57% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 2–2 DC United | 1.91–1.64 | 45% · 22% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| LAFC 0–1 Real Salt Lake | 1.17–0.55 | 51% · 31% · 17% | Won against the xG: Real Salt Lake |
| CF Montreal 1–1 Houston Dynamo | 1.36–1.30 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| New England Revolution 1–2 Columbus Crew | 1.18–1.06 | 39% · 29% · 33% | Close call, Columbus Crew won |
| Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC | 2.73–1.99 | 54% · 18% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.