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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.9 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 3–0 Toronto FC | 3.44–0.21 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls | 1.31–1.21 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Close call, New York Red Bulls won |
| Austin 3–0 DC United | 1.89–1.45 | 48% · 22% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Chicago Fire 4–1 Inter Miami | 2.84–1.80 | 60% · 17% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Nashville SC 0–1 Orlando City SC | 0.36–0.53 | 19% · 49% · 31% | Close call, Orlando City SC won |
| LAFC 5–1 Minnesota United FC | 2.88–1.30 | 70% · 15% · 15% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Seattle Sounders 2–1 LA Galaxy | 1.67–1.37 | 45% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.40–0.31 | 65% · 27% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution | 1.29–0.76 | 49% · 29% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC | 0.49–0.36 | 29% · 51% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.