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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 34.2 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas 3–2 Portland Timbers | 1.06–1.58 | 25% · 25% · 49% | Won against the xG: FC Dallas |
| Colorado Rapids 2–1 Sporting Kansas City | 2.52–1.36 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| LA Galaxy 1–2 LAFC | 0.89–2.50 | 11% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| FC Cincinnati 6–1 Inter Miami | 3.62–1.03 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Columbus Crew 4–0 Toronto FC | 1.90–0.41 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| CF Montreal 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.03–1.38 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Orlando City SC 5–0 DC United | 2.74–0.23 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls | 3.05–3.10 | 41% · 16% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Austin 2–1 New York City FC | 1.13–1.67 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Won against the xG: Austin |
| Real Salt Lake 5–2 Atlanta United FC | 1.87–1.10 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.