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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 27.7 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders 2–0 New England Revolution | 0.75–0.74 | 32% · 37% · 31% | Close call, Seattle Sounders won |
| Sporting Kansas City 3–2 FC Dallas | 2.47–1.63 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Chicago Fire | 1.19–1.10 | 38% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Colorado Rapids 4–1 St. Louis City SC | 1.74–0.98 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| LA Galaxy 2–1 Minnesota United FC | 1.86–1.40 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Portland Timbers 4–1 Nashville SC | 2.83–2.19 | 52% · 18% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| DC United 2–1 Nashville SC | 1.82–0.86 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| CF Montreal 1–0 Atlanta United FC | 1.89–0.42 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| New England Revolution 1–3 Orlando City SC | 1.02–1.15 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union | 0.85–0.81 | 34% · 35% · 32% | Close call, Toronto FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.