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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 24.9 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 1–3 Charlotte | 2.29–1.43 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Won against the xG: Charlotte |
| Austin 0–1 Seattle Sounders | 0.64–0.78 | 27% · 38% · 35% | Close call, Seattle Sounders won |
| Chicago Fire 0–0 New York City FC | 0.87–0.84 | 34% · 34% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Dallas 2–0 LA Galaxy | 1.38–0.40 | 62% · 28% · 11% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Houston Dynamo 1–1 Minnesota United FC | 0.86–0.67 | 37% · 36% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 1–4 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.30–2.73 | 16% · 16% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Colorado Rapids 1–1 New York Red Bulls | 1.91–1.59 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portland Timbers 3–0 Real Salt Lake | 1.62–0.60 | 62% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| LAFC 1–5 Columbus Crew | 1.34–2.13 | 24% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Sporting Kansas City | 0.68–0.89 | 26% · 35% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.