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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 27.9 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Galaxy 3–2 Colorado Rapids | 1.99–2.29 | 35% · 20% · 46% | Close call, LA Galaxy won |
| San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Houston Dynamo | 0.70–1.32 | 20% · 29% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Seattle Sounders 2–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.67–0.76 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| LAFC 1–1 Real Salt Lake | 0.80–1.40 | 21% · 27% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Real Salt Lake had 51% |
| Inter Miami 2–1 Chicago Fire | 2.32–0.69 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| CF Montreal 0–1 Toronto FC | 1.28–0.96 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Won against the xG: Toronto FC |
| New England Revolution 1–1 FC Dallas | 1.09–1.21 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati | 2.00–0.57 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC | 0.80–1.06 | 27% · 32% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Philadelphia Union 3–0 Nashville SC | 4.19–0.78 | 92% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.