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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 31.5 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union 0–1 Columbus Crew | 1.39–1.11 | 43% · 27% · 30% | Close call, Columbus Crew won |
| Charlotte 0–1 Atlanta United FC | 0.90–2.05 | 16% · 20% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| FC Cincinnati 4–1 CF Montreal | 1.07–0.94 | 38% · 31% · 31% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Columbus Crew 4–2 New York City FC | 3.04–1.20 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union | 1.48–1.65 | 35% · 24% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| Orlando City SC 3–0 Nashville SC | 1.94–1.91 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 1–3 DC United | 0.52–2.00 | 9% · 19% · 73% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| Austin 0–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.60–0.94 | 23% · 35% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Chicago Fire 1–4 Inter Miami | 1.41–2.18 | 24% · 20% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| FC Dallas 2–3 Colorado Rapids | 2.73–2.41 | 47% · 18% · 36% | Close call, Colorado Rapids won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.