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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.3 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake 2–0 New England Revolution | 2.63–0.73 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| LAFC 0–2 Houston Dynamo | 0.97–1.98 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Portland Timbers 1–0 Seattle Sounders | 1.06–0.82 | 41% · 32% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Minnesota United FC | 0.58–2.05 | 9% · 19% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| St. Louis City SC 2–1 LA Galaxy | 0.68–0.75 | 29% · 38% · 33% | Close call, St. Louis City SC won |
| Columbus Crew 0–4 Seattle Sounders | 0.41–1.88 | 7% · 20% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| New England Revolution 2–2 St. Louis City SC | 0.84–1.28 | 24% · 29% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| New York Red Bulls 1–1 Sporting Kansas City | 1.14–0.89 | 41% · 30% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Houston Dynamo 0–0 LAFC | 1.10–0.25 | 58% · 34% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Houston Dynamo had 58% |
| Chicago Fire 1–2 DC United | 0.53–0.69 | 24% · 41% · 34% | Close call, DC United won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.