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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.5 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC 0–1 Inter Miami | 0.86–0.30 | 48% · 40% · 12% | Won against the xG: Inter Miami |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Minnesota United FC | 0.46–2.67 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls | 2.01–0.52 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| Charlotte 2–0 CF Montreal | 1.74–0.50 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC | 1.17–2.06 | 21% · 21% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Columbus Crew 3–2 Philadelphia Union | 1.32–1.00 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New England Revolution 1–2 DC United | 0.59–0.95 | 22% · 35% · 43% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–3 LAFC | 0.72–2.07 | 12% · 19% · 69% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| St. Louis City SC 3–0 Houston Dynamo | 1.51–1.41 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
| Colorado Rapids 0–1 Seattle Sounders | 0.93–1.73 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.