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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 29.0 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire 4–3 CF Montreal | 2.23–2.97 | 29% · 17% · 54% | Won against the xG: Chicago Fire |
| Seattle Sounders 1–1 Colorado Rapids | 1.08–2.28 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Colorado Rapids had 64% |
| Columbus Crew 3–0 New York Red Bulls | 2.02–0.25 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New York City FC 2–1 Toronto FC | 1.38–1.35 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Austin 2–2 Philadelphia Union | 1.19–2.51 | 16% · 18% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Philadelphia Union had 66% |
| FC Dallas 1–3 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.97–1.28 | 28% · 28% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Houston Dynamo 1–0 Portland Timbers | 1.12–1.50 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Won against the xG: Houston Dynamo |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.03–1.36 | 28% · 27% · 44% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
| Minnesota United FC 2–0 LAFC | 0.81–1.63 | 19% · 25% · 57% | Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC |
| Nashville SC 2–1 Charlotte | 0.83–1.20 | 26% · 30% · 45% | Won against the xG: Nashville SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.