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15 of 15 matches with xG: 46 goals from 44.3 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC 1–0 Minnesota United FC | 1.26–0.60 | 53% · 30% · 18% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Inter Miami 2–2 New York City FC | 2.55–0.96 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Inter Miami had 72% |
| Atlanta United FC 3–2 CF Montreal | 1.44–2.68 | 19% · 17% · 64% | Won against the xG: Atlanta United FC |
| FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls | 1.45–1.18 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Columbus Crew 4–2 Chicago Fire | 2.18–1.79 | 47% · 20% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| DC United 2–2 Toronto FC | 0.74–1.93 | 14% · 21% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Toronto FC had 66% |
| Orlando City SC 2–4 Philadelphia Union | 2.49–1.83 | 53% · 19% · 28% | Won against the xG: Philadelphia Union |
| Austin 1–0 Sporting Kansas City | 0.92–0.54 | 43% · 36% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Houston Dynamo 1–2 FC Dallas | 1.25–2.08 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Nashville SC 0–0 New England Revolution | 0.94–0.52 | 44% · 36% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 0–0 Colorado Rapids | 2.01–0.20 | 81% · 16% · 3% | Draw against the xG: St. Louis City SC had 81% |
| San Jose Earthquakes 4–0 Real Salt Lake | 2.14–1.83 | 46% · 21% · 34% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Seattle Sounders 2–2 Charlotte | 1.78–0.52 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Seattle Sounders had 68% |
| Portland Timbers 1–4 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.74–2.98 | 6% · 12% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| LA Galaxy 0–2 San Diego | 0.78–1.97 | 14% · 21% · 65% | Win in line with xG for San Diego |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.