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15 of 15 matches with xG: 59 goals from 53.6 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City SC 3–0 Austin | 0.95–0.31 | 51% · 37% · 12% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake | 0.86–0.33 | 47% · 40% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC | 3.23–2.29 | 57% · 16% · 27% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Charlotte 1–0 New England Revolution | 1.75–0.74 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| DC United 4–4 CF Montreal | 2.63–3.13 | 34% · 17% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC | 0.75–1.36 | 21% · 28% · 51% | Won against the xG: Nashville SC |
| Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC | 1.77–1.40 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls | 1.69–0.88 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Won against the xG: New York Red Bulls |
| San Diego 2–4 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.92–3.82 | 5% · 8% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas | 1.36–1.70 | 31% · 24% · 46% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Portland Timbers 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.71–0.96 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Won against the xG: San Jose Earthquakes |
| LA Galaxy 1–1 Houston Dynamo | 2.27–0.91 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Draw against the xG: LA Galaxy had 68% |
| Columbus Crew 2–0 Atlanta United FC | 1.69–1.46 | 43% · 23% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union | 5.10–4.02 | 57% · 13% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| LAFC 1–0 Seattle Sounders | 2.01–1.59 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.