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13 of 15 matches with xG: 35 goals from 43.9 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC | 2.21–1.16 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Draw against the xG: New York City FC had 61% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 LAFC | 2.19–0.26 | 82% · 14% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Vancouver Whitecaps had 82% |
| Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC | 2.64–0.53 | 82% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC | 3.60–3.20 | 48% · 15% · 36% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| DC United 2–2 Nashville SC | 2.03–1.52 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| CF Montreal 2–2 New England Revolution | 0.86–4.03 | 4% · 7% · 90% | Draw against the xG: New England Revolution had 90% |
| Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte | 1.59–0.83 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Diego | 0.92–1.47 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Houston Dynamo | 0.21–1.86 | 4% · 18% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| St. Louis City SC 1–1 Real Salt Lake | 1.71–1.24 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin | 2.99–1.25 | 73% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| LA Galaxy 0–0 FC Dallas | 1.16–1.54 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders | 1.71–1.22 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.