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15 of 15 matches with xG: 36 goals from 41.9 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution | 0.96–0.37 | 49% · 37% · 14% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Chicago Fire 3–0 CF Montreal | 3.05–0.10 | 94% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati | 1.92–0.84 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Colorado Rapids 2–0 Portland Timbers | 1.83–1.10 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| Real Salt Lake 2–1 Seattle Sounders | 1.68–1.50 | 42% · 23% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Atlanta United FC | 2.83–0.83 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Houston Dynamo 0–2 LAFC | 0.69–1.83 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–2 Columbus Crew | 1.49–3.15 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 70% |
| FC Dallas 0–0 Nashville SC | 0.68–0.49 | 35% · 42% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Toronto FC | 2.94–0.35 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| LA Galaxy 3–0 Charlotte | 2.92–0.21 | 91% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Austin 1–0 DC United | 1.50–0.25 | 70% · 25% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC | 2.03–2.44 | 33% · 19% · 48% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Orlando City SC 2–4 Inter Miami | 0.81–1.82 | 16% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| San Diego 2–0 St. Louis City SC | 0.86–0.41 | 44% · 39% · 17% | Win in line with xG for San Diego |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.