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5 of 15 matches with xG: 18 goals from 14.2 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC | 2.93–1.10 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC | 0.95–0.80 | 37% · 33% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| CF Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati | 2.07–1.91 | 43% · 21% · 37% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| Charlotte 0–1 Chicago Fire | 1.19–1.11 | 38% · 28% · 34% | Close call, Chicago Fire won |
| Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami | 1.87–0.27 | 77% · 18% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.