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15 of 15 matches with xG: 62 goals from 56.5 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal | 1.61–1.54 | 40% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Toronto FC |
| Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC | 1.09–1.50 | 28% · 26% · 47% | Won against the xG: Chicago Fire |
| Inter Miami 4–0 DC United | 2.41–0.66 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| Atlanta United FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati | 1.35–2.34 | 21% · 19% · 60% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Orlando City SC 3–2 Columbus Crew | 2.44–4.28 | 18% · 12% · 70% | Won against the xG: Orlando City SC |
| New England Revolution 0–3 Seattle Sounders | 0.82–1.47 | 21% · 27% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake | 1.97–0.76 | 66% · 21% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego | 4.16–2.12 | 73% · 12% · 15% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Charlotte 3–2 FC Dallas | 2.88–2.06 | 55% · 17% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| Austin 1–4 Nashville SC | 1.11–4.94 | 3% · 5% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo | 1.30–1.58 | 31% · 25% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers | 1.85–1.54 | 45% · 22% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.07–0.72 | 43% · 32% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| LAFC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.12–1.20 | 34% · 28% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 6–2 LA Galaxy | 2.61–1.96 | 52% · 18% · 29% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.