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MLS 2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 33

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Matches

Matchday 33 in xG

15 of 15 matches with xG: 53 goals from 49.1 xG (1.08 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Charlotte 4–0 Orlando City SC2.34–0.9070% · 18% · 13%Win in line with xG for Charlotte
FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union1.10–1.1435% · 29% · 37%Close call, FC Cincinnati won
Columbus Crew 3–0 DC United1.10–1.1634% · 29% · 37%Close call, Columbus Crew won
New York City FC 1–1 CF Montreal1.23–0.6849% · 30% · 21%Draw in line with xG
Sporting Kansas City 1–1 FC Dallas1.03–1.7622% · 23% · 54%Draw against the xG: FC Dallas had 54%
St. Louis City SC 0–1 San Diego1.39–0.8151% · 28% · 22%Won against the xG: San Diego
LA Galaxy 4–1 Austin2.44–1.2763% · 18% · 18%Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake1.77–1.3547% · 23% · 29%Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids 2–4 Chicago Fire1.45–2.3723% · 19% · 58%Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps 5–1 Seattle Sounders2.47–1.2664% · 18% · 18%Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps
Nashville SC 3–2 New York Red Bulls2.65–2.9337% · 17% · 46%Close call, Nashville SC won
Atlanta United FC 3–1 Toronto FC4.64–1.4487% · 7% · 6%Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution 1–2 Inter Miami1.22–1.4332% · 26% · 42%Win in line with xG for Inter Miami
LAFC 1–3 Minnesota United FC0.85–0.6837% · 36% · 27%Close call, Minnesota United FC won
Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo3.81–0.4693% · 5% · 2%Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 32 · Matchday 34

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