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15 of 15 matches with xG: 54 goals from 47.6 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids | 1.79–0.46 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Toronto FC |
| New England Revolution 3–0 CF Montreal | 1.77–1.21 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| Real Salt Lake 3–1 Sporting Kansas City | 2.55–0.48 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Inter Miami 2–2 Austin | 2.94–1.68 | 64% · 16% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Inter Miami had 64% |
| Atlanta United FC 1–3 Columbus Crew | 1.24–1.46 | 32% · 26% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati | 2.00–2.80 | 27% · 18% · 55% | Won against the xG: New York Red Bulls |
| Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union | 1.46–1.71 | 33% · 23% · 44% | Close call, Charlotte won |
| New York City FC 1–1 St. Louis City SC | 1.14–1.40 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| DC United 0–4 FC Dallas | 0.61–2.07 | 10% · 19% · 72% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders | 0.94–1.40 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC | 1.18–0.79 | 45% · 30% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| LAFC 6–0 Orlando City SC | 2.65–0.72 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| LA Galaxy 1–2 Minnesota United FC | 2.03–1.41 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Portland Timbers | 2.98–0.51 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| San Jose Earthquakes 3–0 San Diego | 3.76–0.47 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.