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11 of 11 matches with xG: 43 goals from 31.6 xG (1.36 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew 2–1 LA Galaxy | 0.97–0.76 | 39% · 33% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati | 1.56–1.49 | 39% · 24% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union | 1.40–0.83 | 50% · 27% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Toronto FC had 50% |
| Orlando City SC 4–1 Charlotte | 0.90–1.57 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Won against the xG: Orlando City SC |
| New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United | 1.34–3.41 | 11% · 12% · 77% | Draw against the xG: DC United had 77% |
| Atlanta United FC 1–2 New England Revolution | 2.47–1.10 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Won against the xG: New England Revolution |
| FC Dallas 0–1 Minnesota United FC | 0.72–1.03 | 25% · 33% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego | 1.52–1.15 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Real Salt Lake 0–2 Inter Miami | 1.07–1.67 | 24% · 24% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| LAFC 0–0 Colorado Rapids | 0.21–0.23 | 15% · 68% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| San Jose Earthquakes 5–1 Austin | 5.36–0.83 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.