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Goals a match against xG a match in every league with 30+ matches with the provider's xG this season: above zero, more goals than the chances' xG.
| League | Country | Matches with xG | Goals a match | xG a match | Goals − xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | Netherlands | 107 | 3.89 | 3.39 | +0.52 |
| Thai League 1 | Thailand | 37 | 2.95 | 2.67 | +0.43 |
| Eerste Divisie | Netherlands | 131 | 3.53 | 3.12 | +0.43 |
| Primera A | Colombia | 311 | 2.53 | 2.13 | +0.41 |
| Super League | Switzerland | 78 | 3.76 | 3.36 | +0.40 |
| HNL | Croatia | 64 | 3.06 | 2.73 | +0.33 |
| Premier Soccer League | South-Africa | 70 | 2.33 | 2.13 | +0.20 |
| Primera División | Chile | 72 | 2.84 | 2.58 | +0.18 |
| MLS | USA | 491 | 3.25 | 3.05 | +0.18 |
| Eliteserien | Norway | 207 | 3.32 | 3.16 | +0.16 |
| Jupiler Pro League | Belgium | 99 | 3.19 | 3.05 | +0.15 |
| Primeira Liga | Portugal | 98 | 2.63 | 2.52 | +0.11 |
| Serie A | Brazil | 330 | 2.67 | 2.58 | +0.10 |
| Primera División | Peru | 130 | 2.78 | 2.80 | +0.10 |
| Süper Lig | Turkey | 99 | 3.01 | 2.91 | +0.10 |
| Liga MX | Mexico | 136 | 3.02 | 2.92 | +0.08 |
| Premier League | Egypt | 78 | 2.31 | 2.25 | +0.08 |
| Premier Division | Ireland | 108 | 2.81 | 2.70 | +0.08 |
| Championship | England | 180 | 2.96 | 2.91 | +0.04 |
| Super League 1 | Greece | 63 | 2.72 | 2.68 | +0.03 |
| Bundesliga | Austria | 72 | 3.29 | 3.26 | +0.03 |
| Super League | China | 167 | 3.17 | 3.07 | +0.01 |
| Primera División | Bolivia | 38 | 3.04 | 3.04 | +0.01 |
| Superliga | Denmark | 81 | 3.06 | 3.09 | +0.01 |
| Serie A | Italy | 110 | 3.11 | 3.11 | +0.00 |
| Ligue 2 | France | 30 | 2.68 | 2.61 | -0.01 |
| Bundesliga | Germany | 81 | 3.48 | 3.50 | -0.02 |
| La Liga | Spain | 119 | 2.89 | 2.92 | -0.03 |
| League One | England | 158 | 2.79 | 2.83 | -0.04 |
| Liga Profesional Argentina | Argentina | 240 | 2.18 | 2.35 | -0.06 |
| Serie B | Brazil | 349 | 2.35 | 2.40 | -0.06 |
| Veikkausliiga | Finland | 60 | 2.60 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 2. Bundesliga | Germany | 99 | 2.99 | 3.05 | -0.06 |
| Liga Pro | Ecuador | 121 | 2.34 | 2.46 | -0.07 |
| Serie B | Italy | 110 | 2.61 | 2.70 | -0.09 |
| Canadian Premier League | Canada | 64 | 3.17 | 3.35 | -0.10 |
| Czech Liga | Czech-Republic | 110 | 2.76 | 2.86 | -0.10 |
| Challenger Pro League | Belgium | 32 | 3.09 | 3.20 | -0.11 |
| Paulista - A1 | Brazil | 47 | 2.33 | 2.51 | -0.11 |
| 1. Lig | Turkey | 68 | 2.78 | 3.09 | -0.12 |
| Pro League | Saudi-Arabia | 103 | 3.03 | 3.22 | -0.17 |
| Segunda División | Spain | 115 | 2.75 | 2.93 | -0.17 |
| Ekstraklasa | Poland | 123 | 2.98 | 3.16 | -0.19 |
| Ligue 1 | France | 90 | 2.96 | 3.17 | -0.21 |
| Premier League | England | 100 | 2.73 | 2.95 | -0.22 |
| Premier League | Russia | 49 | 2.70 | 2.93 | -0.28 |
| Division Profesional - Apertura | Paraguay | 55 | 2.44 | 2.61 | -0.32 |
| Division Profesional - Clausura | Paraguay | 48 | 2.49 | 2.86 | -0.36 |
| Premiership | Scotland | 75 | 2.85 | 3.22 | -0.37 |
| Ligat Ha'al | Israel | 35 | 3.00 | 3.23 | -0.38 |
| Allsvenskan | Sweden | 160 | 2.83 | 3.17 | -0.39 |
| NWSL Women | USA | 78 | 2.80 | 3.08 | -0.40 |
| NB I | Hungary | 30 | 2.96 | 2.90 | -0.40 |
| Liga I | Romania | 75 | 2.62 | 3.30 | -0.43 |
| Super Liga | Serbia | 72 | 2.59 | 3.10 | -0.43 |
| League Two | England | 151 | 2.68 | 3.16 | -0.46 |
| Superettan | Sweden | 32 | 2.90 | 3.21 | -0.65 |