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4 of 6 matches with xG: 6 goals from 10.1 xG (0.60 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 0–0 Flamengo | 0.33–1.07 | 11% · 34% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 54% |
| Boavista SC 2–2 Portuguesa RJ | 1.51–2.00 | 29% · 22% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo 0–2 Madureira | 2.68–1.77 | 57% · 18% · 25% | Won against the xG: Madureira |
| Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–0 Vasco da Gama | 0.61–0.10 | 42% · 52% · 5% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.