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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 27.3 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 0–3 Athletico Paranaense | 0.51–2.38 | 6% · 15% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Internacional 2–1 Sao Paulo | 1.20–1.42 | 32% · 26% · 42% | Close call, Internacional won |
| Santos 0–3 Cruzeiro | 0.47–1.39 | 12% · 28% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Fortaleza EC 2–1 Corinthians | 2.65–0.47 | 84% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Coritiba 2–4 Bahia | 1.31–4.28 | 6% · 8% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| RB Bragantino 2–0 Gremio | 1.34–1.63 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Close call, RB Bragantino won |
| Cuiaba 2–2 America Mineiro | 1.61–0.39 | 68% · 23% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Cuiaba had 68% |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Goias | 1.06–0.42 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Vasco da Gama 4–2 Fluminense | 1.40–1.99 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Botafogo | 1.27–0.13 | 67% · 29% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.