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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 20.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia 1–2 Santos | 0.65–2.89 | 6% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| America Mineiro 0–2 RB Bragantino | 1.33–2.07 | 24% · 21% · 55% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Goias 0–0 Flamengo | 0.13–0.54 | 7% · 55% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fluminense 1–0 Cruzeiro | 0.51–0.52 | 27% · 46% · 27% | Close call, Fluminense won |
| Sao Paulo 1–2 Fortaleza EC | 1.46–1.08 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Vasco da Gama 5–1 Coritiba | 3.62–0.53 | 91% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–1 Internacional | 0.78–0.58 | 37% · 39% · 25% | Close call, Athletico Paranaense won |
| Gremio 1–0 Palmeiras | 0.33–1.10 | 11% · 33% · 56% | Won against the xG: Gremio |
| Corinthians 1–0 Botafogo | 1.27–0.46 | 57% · 30% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Cuiaba | 0.60–0.44 | 33% · 45% · 22% | Close call, Atlético Mineiro won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.