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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.8 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goias 4–6 Bahia | 2.73–1.89 | 56% · 18% · 26% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Vasco da Gama 0–0 Sao Paulo | 0.81–1.33 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Corinthians 1–1 Flamengo | 1.93–0.61 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 69% |
| Fluminense 0–2 Botafogo | 0.88–1.90 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Palmeiras 1–2 Santos | 1.66–1.39 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Close call, Santos won |
| Internacional 3–2 Gremio | 2.44–0.39 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–2 Coritiba | 0.65–0.81 | 27% · 37% · 36% | Close call, Coritiba won |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.56–0.59 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 61% |
| Fortaleza EC 3–2 America Mineiro | 2.09–1.68 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Cuiaba 0–0 Cruzeiro | 0.95–0.51 | 45% · 36% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.