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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.6 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo 3–0 Gremio | 2.98–0.10 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Bahia 2–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.23–0.47 | 55% · 30% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Cuiaba 1–1 Goias | 1.33–1.72 | 30% · 24% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 0.87–1.13 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Flamengo 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 0.49–0.98 | 18% · 35% · 47% | Won against the xG: Flamengo |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–1 Cruzeiro | 0.64–0.95 | 24% · 35% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Internacional 7–1 Santos | 1.61–1.60 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Corinthians 1–1 America Mineiro | 1.28–0.66 | 51% · 29% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 51% |
| RB Bragantino 1–0 Fluminense | 2.24–0.54 | 76% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Coritiba 0–2 Palmeiras | 0.68–1.14 | 22% · 31% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.