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10 of 10 matches with xG: 40 goals from 28.6 xG (1.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo | 2.42–0.13 | 88% · 10% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Cruzeiro 3–0 Bahia | 2.03–0.31 | 79% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Gremio 3–2 Flamengo | 1.01–1.09 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Close call, Gremio won |
| Cuiaba 0–1 Corinthians | 0.58–1.59 | 13% · 25% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Fluminense 5–3 Goias | 2.52–0.64 | 78% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| RB Bragantino 1–2 Atlético Mineiro | 2.11–2.07 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Close call, Atlético Mineiro won |
| Athletico Paranaense 3–2 America Mineiro | 2.94–0.87 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Santos 2–1 Coritiba | 2.06–0.83 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Vasco da Gama 1–2 Internacional | 1.15–1.57 | 28% · 25% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Fortaleza EC 2–2 Botafogo | 1.97–0.67 | 68% · 20% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 68% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.