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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.1 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional 0–0 Fluminense | 1.06–0.51 | 49% · 34% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| America Mineiro 0–3 Coritiba | 0.42–0.91 | 16% · 38% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| Sao Paulo 1–0 RB Bragantino | 2.14–0.54 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.26–0.62 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 52% |
| Flamengo 3–0 Palmeiras | 1.38–0.94 | 47% · 27% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Corinthians 1–1 Atlético Mineiro | 1.47–1.10 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Goias 0–1 Santos | 0.85–1.18 | 26% · 30% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Botafogo 3–4 Gremio | 1.45–2.23 | 25% · 20% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Bahia 0–3 Cuiaba | 0.74–2.20 | 11% · 18% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Cruzeiro 2–2 Vasco da Gama | 1.39–0.67 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.