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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.7 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba 1–0 Cruzeiro | 0.71–0.55 | 35% · 41% · 25% | Close call, Coritiba won |
| Flamengo 1–1 Fluminense | 0.86–1.38 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Palmeiras 3–0 Internacional | 1.67–0.76 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| RB Bragantino 2–2 Botafogo | 2.87–0.89 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 78% |
| Gremio 0–1 Corinthians | 1.33–0.59 | 55% · 29% · 17% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| Vasco da Gama 2–1 America Mineiro | 1.23–2.57 | 16% · 17% · 66% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
| Santos 0–0 Sao Paulo | 0.60–1.20 | 19% · 31% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 51% |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Goias | 1.28–0.95 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Bahia 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 2.45–0.70 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 76% |
| Cuiaba 2–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.67–0.45 | 68% · 23% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.