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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians 1–5 Bahia | 0.92–2.79 | 10% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.42–0.63 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 56% |
| Fluminense 2–1 Coritiba | 1.63–0.91 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Botafogo 1–1 Santos | 1.52–0.26 | 70% · 24% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 70% |
| Atlético Mineiro 3–0 Gremio | 1.93–1.32 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Sao Paulo 0–0 Cuiaba | 0.80–0.11 | 51% · 44% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 51% |
| Internacional 1–0 RB Bragantino | 1.13–0.46 | 53% · 32% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Fortaleza EC 2–2 Palmeiras | 1.83–0.84 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 61% |
| America Mineiro 0–3 Flamengo | 0.41–3.02 | 3% · 9% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Goias 0–1 Cruzeiro | 0.42–0.84 | 17% · 39% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.