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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 27.1 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama 2–4 Corinthians | 1.37–1.47 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Santos 0–3 Fluminense | 1.45–1.22 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Close call, Fluminense won |
| Flamengo 0–3 Atlético Mineiro | 1.04–1.20 | 32% · 29% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Bahia 0–1 Sao Paulo | 0.72–1.00 | 26% · 33% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Cuiaba 0–2 Internacional | 0.72–1.47 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Palmeiras 4–0 America Mineiro | 3.38–0.08 | 96% · 4% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo | 1.73–2.15 | 32% · 21% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gremio 2–1 Goias | 1.07–0.68 | 44% · 33% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Cruzeiro 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 3.13–1.16 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 76% |
| RB Bragantino 1–2 Fortaleza EC | 1.54–0.57 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.