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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 21.2 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense 1–2 Gremio | 1.15–0.82 | 43% · 31% · 26% | Won against the xG: Gremio |
| Fortaleza EC 2–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.86–0.61 | 67% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Flamengo 1–1 Cruzeiro | 2.17–1.20 | 59% · 20% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 59% |
| Cuiaba 1–1 Coritiba | 0.64–0.96 | 24% · 35% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Goias | 0.77–0.32 | 43% · 42% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Corinthians 2–0 Fluminense | 1.40–1.20 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Internacional 2–0 Bahia | 0.97–1.10 | 32% · 30% · 38% | Close call, Internacional won |
| RB Bragantino 2–0 Santos | 1.24–0.29 | 61% · 30% · 9% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Palmeiras | 0.89–1.15 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo 2–0 America Mineiro | 2.19–0.26 | 82% · 14% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.