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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 21.6 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC 0–0 Bahia | 0.69–0.33 | 40% · 45% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 0–1 Atlético Mineiro | 1.85–0.63 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Botafogo | 0.85–0.61 | 39% · 37% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| America Mineiro 2–0 Corinthians | 1.21–1.18 | 37% · 28% · 35% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Santos 1–1 Internacional | 1.45–0.96 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fluminense 2–1 RB Bragantino | 1.06–0.58 | 47% · 33% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Gremio 2–1 Sao Paulo | 2.05–1.18 | 57% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Palmeiras 3–1 Coritiba | 2.23–0.61 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Goias 0–1 Cuiaba | 0.36–1.50 | 9% · 25% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Vasco da Gama 1–4 Flamengo | 1.52–0.77 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Won against the xG: Flamengo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.