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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.9 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 1–1 Cuiaba | 1.39–0.78 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 51% |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 RB Bragantino | 1.87–0.95 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Cruzeiro 3–0 Corinthians | 1.47–1.18 | 44% · 26% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense | 2.03–0.35 | 78% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Juventude 3–0 Gremio | 1.66–0.77 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Internacional 1–2 Vasco da Gama | 1.29–0.73 | 50% · 29% · 21% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
| Vitoria 2–1 Criciuma | 1.65–0.96 | 54% · 25% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Palmeiras 2–0 Bahia | 0.86–1.93 | 16% · 21% · 62% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–2 Athletico Paranaense | 0.66–1.03 | 23% · 33% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Botafogo 3–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.15–0.17 | 62% · 32% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.