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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.0 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio 0–2 Cruzeiro | 1.01–1.03 | 34% · 30% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Vasco da Gama 2–0 Corinthians | 0.93–0.42 | 47% · 37% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–3 Bahia | 1.93–1.30 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Palmeiras 3–1 Atletico Goianiense | 3.31–0.47 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza EC | 2.05–0.39 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Criciuma 1–1 Fluminense | 1.08–2.13 | 18% · 20% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 61% |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo | 0.63–1.38 | 17% · 28% · 55% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
| Vitoria 0–1 Botafogo | 1.02–2.35 | 15% · 18% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Cuiaba 0–0 Juventude | 0.65–0.55 | 32% · 42% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Bragantino 2–2 Internacional | 1.13–2.23 | 18% · 20% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 62% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.